Bitcoin
CALM77,953 · 24h: +0.3% · 7d: -3.65%
Bitcoin is up (+0.3% in 24h), the day runs against the week — the market is hesitating. At higher speeds, ETF flows and the Fed's tone tend to matter most.
Fundamentals
Why the market moves — before the sonar shows where
The sonar is technical: zones, Σ strength, breakout chance. This tab explains the rest —in plain language, live. The barometer below interprets current quotes of the six script markets (BTC, ETH, gold, silver, oil, S&P 500) on its own, the driver cards say what actually moves them, and raw feeds live in a collapsible section for the curious.
Educational material — not investment advice or a recommendation.
01 · Barometer — what's happening now, in plain words
Six markets, six sentences
Quotes are fetched live and the interpretation is written by fixed, transparent rules — not opinion, not a forecast. The colour says how much is going on; the sentence — what it usually means.
Ethereum
CALM2,266 · 24h: +0.34% · 7d: -3.61%
Ethereum is up (+0.3% in 24h), the day runs against the week — the market is hesitating. ETH usually moves with BTC, only harder — glance at the ETH/BTC pair.
Gold
HOT3,899 · 24h: -3.29% · 7d: -2.72%
Gold is down (-3.3% in 24h), the week pulls the same way — the move has backing. Gold trades on real rates and the dollar — big moves rarely come from nowhere.
Silver
HOT49.28 · 24h: -5.59% · 7d: -8.26%
Silver is down (-5.6% in 24h), the week pulls the same way — the move has backing. Silver is gold on steroids: the same triggers, a larger amplitude.
Brent Oil
MOVING113.43 · 24h: -1.26% · 7d: -2.82%
Brent Oil is down (-1.3% in 24h), the week pulls the same way — the move has backing. Oil answers to OPEC+ and inventories — Wednesday data can flip the day.
S&P 500
HOT7,580 · 24h: -1.82% · 7d: -0.57%
S&P 500 is down (-1.8% in 24h), the week pulls the same way — the move has backing. The index breathes with Fed rates and mega-cap earnings.
As of 19:33 (PL time) · refreshes every ~10 min · sources: Binance, Stooq · an interpretation of volatility, not a recommendation.
02 · Fear & Greed
An emotion thermometer — five markets
Computed with a transparent formula from price alone: 24-hour and 14-day momentum plus the position within the last 30 sessions' range. 0 is extreme fear, 100 — extreme greed. Extreme readings have historically marked exhaustion zones more often than invitations to chase.
Bitcoin
28
FEAR
Ethereum
28
FEAR
Gold
0
EXTREME FEAR
Brent Oil
43
FEAR
S&P 500
8
EXTREME FEAR
The formula — identical for every market: 40% 24-hour momentum · 20% 14-day momentum · 40% position in the 30-session range. A mood gauge, not a signal.
03 · What actually moves each market
Six markets, three drivers each — no noise
There are hundreds of headlines a day; factors that actually set these markets — a handful. If you're just starting out: read these cards once and the barometer above and the calendar below stop being noise.
Bitcoin
BTCUSD- Supply cycle (halving) — every ~4 years new-BTC issuance halves — the historical axis of this market's cycles.
- Spot-ETF flows — fund inflows and outflows are today's main barometer of institutional demand.
- Dollar liquidity & the Fed — BTC responds to the cost of money: easing helps, tightening weighs.
Watch: FOMC & CPI in the calendar below · weekly ETF flows · BTC dominance (rotation into alts)
Ethereum
ETHUSD- Network activity & fees — part of fees is burned (EIP-1559) — high activity means deflationary pressure on supply.
- Staking — locked ETH limits free float; changes in staking yields shift incentives.
- ETFs & regulation — regulators' decisions around ETH have defined the recent big moves.
Watch: network fees & L2 activity · regulatory decision calendar · ETH/BTC (relative strength)
Gold
XAUUSD- Real interest rates — the strongest inverse relationship: falling real yields fuel gold.
- The dollar (DXY) — gold is priced in USD — a weaker dollar usually supports the price.
- Central-bank buying — the structural demand of recent years, largely insensitive to the current price.
Watch: CPI & Fed decisions · 10Y (TIPS) yields · geopolitics
Silver
XAGUSD- Dual nature — half precious, half industrial (solar, electronics) — it reacts to the Fed and to the business cycle.
- Beta to gold — usually follows gold, with a larger amplitude both ways.
- Gold/Silver ratio — extreme readings point to relative mispricing of one side of the pair.
Watch: everything gold watches + manufacturing PMIs and solar demand
Brent Oil
UKOIL- OPEC+ — supply decisions (cuts or increases) are the single strongest price factor.
- Inventories & demand — weekly US inventories (Wednesdays) and the health of China's economy.
- Geopolitics — tensions in producing regions and shipping routes add a risk premium.
Watch: OPEC+ meetings · Wednesday EIA inventories · China PMIs
S&P 500
US500- Corporate earnings — earnings season — especially the largest companies with the biggest index weight.
- The Fed's rate path — valuations discount the cost of money; CPI/PCE and labour data steer expectations.
- Liquidity & sentiment — fund positioning can amplify moves in both directions.
Watch: the US calendar (CPI, NFP, FOMC) · mega-cap earnings dates
04 · Before you click anything
Three rules that protect beginners
RULE 1
The minute after a release is the market's most expensive minute
spreads and slippage spike — this is where beginners give back the most. Watching costs nothing.
RULE 2
The reaction at a zone says more than the print itself
a defence or a break of a sonar zone after the data shows who really took control.
RULE 3
The calendar is also for not trading
knowing CPI is out in an hour is information: the market is guessing now — you do not have to.
05 · For the curious
Raw macro calendar and headlines — expand when you want the source data
High-importance events calendar
Only high-importance releases from the largest economies — the moments when sonar zones get tested hardest. The cheat sheet below explains the acronyms.
Cheat sheet: what these acronyms mean
Rate decision (Fed / ECB) — the central bank sets the price of money. Higher rates usually weigh on stocks and crypto and strengthen the dollar.
CPI — inflation — how fast prices are rising. A print above forecast = the market expects a tougher central bank.
NFP — US labour market — how many jobs were added in a month. The fastest barometer of US economic strength.
GDP — the growth rate of the whole economy — a quarterly health check.
PMI — a survey of company managers: above 50 the economy is accelerating, below — braking.
Forecast vs actual — the market does not react to the number itself but to the DIFFERENCE versus expectations. Surprise = movement.
Source: TradingView · updates automatically · times in your browser's timezone.
Market headlines
Crypto
Commodities & indices
Source: TradingView · headlines are selected by the provider — not MarketSonar content.
06 · How to combine fundamentals with the sonar
The barometer and the calendar tell you when volatility appears, the drivers — why, and the dashboard and screener show where the zones are on which that volatility tends to stall or accelerate. You can audit our readouts in thejournal — hits and misses, no cherry-picking.